Kentucky Derby Focus: What to Make of Exaggerator?

Kentucky Derby Focus: What to Make of Exaggerator?

Category : News - Sun 24/04/2016 - 14:42 EDT

Likely a top three betting choice in the Kentucky Derby, Santa Anita Derby winner Exaggerator is a bit of a puzzling case as handicappers begin the process of sorting out contenders in the weeks leading up to the big race.

On the positive side, Exaggerator’s final prep was easily the most impressive of any of the Kentucky Derby contender’s last race – or any race. The 103 Beyer Speed Figure he earned while winning the Santa Anita Derby was nine points faster than the next closest figure (Nyquist’s 94 in the Florida Derby). The performance was also visually impressive as the son of Curlin was at least 15 lengths off the pace before unleashing a jaw-dropping move around the three-eighths pole to inhale the front-runners at the head of the stretch. Of course, it must be noted that the sloppy conditions of the Santa Anita track clearly suited him, while his rivals did little more than spin their wheels.

Sloppy track sensation?

Is Exaggerator a sloppy-track sensation, or does his Santa Anita Derby performance simply signal an improving colt stepping up his game at exactly the right time? In the  Keith Desormeaux trainee’s dry track performances this year, he finished second in Grade 2 San Vicente at seven furlongs, checking in behind a fast performance from Nyquist, and ran third in the Grade 2 San Felipe after flattening out in the stretch. Exaggerator clearly doesn’t need a sloppy track to be an effective horse, but his two biggest career triumphs have been on the off-going with the other occurring in the Delta Jackpot Stakes a as a juvenile.

Can’t play against 

Exaggerator will surely be another horse to keep tabs on as he makes his final preparations for the Kentucky Derby. Possessing a quick turn of foot, a suitable running style, and a pedigree that suggests a mile and a quarter won’t be a problem, there’s no valid reason to think the intriguing colt won’t run a big race in the Kentucky Derby – particularly if the forecast calls for rain in Louisville.  

Category : News

Leave a comment

More articles...
News - 15/07/16

Indiana Derby Picks and Preview

This Saturday sees the running of the premier race of the Indiana Grand race schedule, with the running if the Grade 3 Indiana Derby.

Read this article
News - 18/05/16

Pondering Exotic Wagers in 2016 Preakness Stakes

Players looking to create betting value in the 2016 Preakness May 21 at Pimlico face a familiar dilemma in horse racing: create value underneath the heavy favorite or decide whether the heavy favorite is beatable for the top spot.

Read this article
News - 03/05/16

Kentucky Derby Week Kicks Off with $100,000 Kentucky Juvenile Stakes

On Thursday at Churchill Downs, the Kentucky Derby week festivities will begin with the $100,000 Kentucky Juvenile Stakes. The five-furlong contest has drawn a field of nine two-year-olds.

Read this article
News - 16/04/16

Wild Dude Faces Five Rivals in $100,000 Los Angeles Stakes

On Saturday at Los Alamitos, the featured race is the $100,000 Los Angeles Stakes. Scheduled to be run at five and a half furlongs, the Grade 3 race has drawn a field of six colts and geldings.

Read this article